This is a tough game to call. I don’t love either of these teams. The Mavs have a funky 8-man rotation where their starting shooting guard plays about 15 minutes a game and two of their three subs are PG-sized (though Terry is essentially a 2). Erick Dampier isn’t a great interior presence, but he had a good Game 1 and he should be able to get stuff done against Matt Bonner, Kurt Thomas or Drew Gooden. The Dirk-Tim Duncan matchup is interesting because Duncan has lost a lot of lateral quickness, but that’s negated from the fact that Dirk doesn’t go to the hoop as much anymore.
Just like the Celtics, I can’t see the Spurs losing the first two at home. I think the Mavericks will win the series, but the Spurs should bounce back here with the win. I think Parker has a big game, Mason hits a couple shots, and Udoka plays some lockdown perimeter D on whoever he lines up with in his 15-20 minutes. This series goes to Dallas split, where Dallas has a good chance to take a 3-1 lead.
